Projection bias
Overestimating how closely future preferences will resemble how you feel now.
Explanation · worked example · knowledge check
Money and EconomicsHow context, habits and mental shortcuts shape our decisions.
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Overestimating how closely future preferences will resemble how you feel now.
Explanation · worked example · knowledge checkA preference for known probabilities over unknown probabilities in otherwise comparable choices.
Explanation · worked example · knowledge checkAn additional option can change preferences between existing options when it is dominated by one of them.
Explanation · worked example · knowledge checkLosses may weigh more heavily than comparable gains relative to a reference point.
Explanation · worked example · knowledge checkGiving disproportionate weight to immediate outcomes compared with later ones.
Explanation · worked example · knowledge checkAllowing an initial reference value to influence a later judgement, even when it is weakly relevant.
Explanation · worked example · knowledge checkGiving more attention or weight to evidence that supports an existing belief.
Explanation · worked example · knowledge checkTreating money differently according to the labels or categories assigned to it.
Explanation · worked example · knowledge check